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Disruption in its various forms is likely to determine the direction of global markets in the coming year, T.Rowe Price experts say. With the U.S. moving later in the business cycle, the U.S. Federal Reserve raising rates, and credit conditions diverging widely across other global economies, the potential for market volatility remains high.
- Although the odds of a downturn appear above average given where we are in the economic cycle, we believe a global recession is a relatively low risk in 2019.
- We believe markets will face disruption stemming from diverging monetary policies, technology amplifying valuation disparities, and geopolitical uncertainty.
- Correctly identifying the winners and losers in this era of significant change will be key to investment outperformance.
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