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Where Are Financial Markets Headed? Listen To Oil For An Answer

Where Are Financial Markets Headed? Listen To Oil For An Answer

Crude oil has lagged basic commodities' bullish behavior.

Sometimes a simple observation in financial markets may be enough to reveal a lot about where the global economy and risk assets are headed. Crude oil (NYSEARCA:USO), which has lagged basic commodities' bullish behavior, is ready to send a new big signal, if it breaks over $52 a barrel and sustains price action above that area. Should that happen, crude oil will align with the bullish behavior of pro-growth commodities, like copper, and will verify that the global business cycle is indeed accelerating. This will most certainly support a move towards new all-time highs for US equities (NYSEARCA:SPY), more pain for US Treasuries (NYSEARCA:TLT), as well as international bond holders (NYSEARCA:BWX), resumption of the dollar uptrend (NYSEARCA:UUP), and higher inflationary expectations across the board. On the opposite hand, if the price of crude oil fails to surpass this crucial market… Read More …

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