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Dec 11, 2007 5:16 pm

Macca, this is for you.  Since you insist on infesting these boards with your stupid one-sided fantasies, try refuting these studies…straight from my continuing education last night…

  "According to a study headed by Gavin Quill, senior vice president of research studies at Financial Research Corp. of Boston entitled “Investors Behaving Badly,” fund investors may be their own worst enemies. The study found that investors act in a manner contrary to their own best interests when it comes to making financial decisions. The study shows that investors chase after what they consider to be “hot funds” after they have already peaked and dump funds that are recovering. This tendency to buy high and sell low does great damage to their return potential.

The study covered the period between January of 1990 and March of 2000. It found that 52 percent of U.S. households owned mutual funds. Most felt that they were long-term investors and over 80 percent said they did not care about short-term market fluctuations. The majority of investors, even though he or she considered themselves long-term investors, held their funds for an average of only three years.

The study further showed that investors put over $90 billion into funds in the quarter after they peaked and only about $6.5 billion after their worst quarter. Instead of buying low and selling high they were doing the opposite. The average return on funds during all rolling three year periods from January 1990 to March 2000 was just short of 11 percent, but because of the behavior mentioned above the average fund investor made only a little over 8.5 percent. They would have realized as much as 5 percent more return if they would have used dollar cost averaging and stuck with the funds. The study results confirmed that the average investor consistently under performed because of the tendency to jump in and out of the market, or to switch funds from one family to another.

DALBAR another Boston research firm in their 1994 study entitled a “Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior” came up with essentially the same results. In a recent update of the study they concluded that between January 1, 1984, and December 31, 2000, the average fund investor by getting in and out of the market at the wrong time posted annualized returns of approximately 5.5 percent while the S&P 500 had an average index of 16.3 percent over the same period. The average bond fund investor had returns of approximately 2.3 percent per year and Treasury Bills brought 5.8 percent over the same period.

The Quill study found that investors who worked with financial planners did better than those without because the planner helped them stay for the long term."

Hmmmmm...those studies seem to fly straight in the face of the junk study you've posted here many times before.  Why don't you stick that in your crack pipe and smoke it?
Dec 11, 2007 5:46 pm

Hey kids…don’t waste your time and energy responding to Macca.  Help Borker out, but ignore the troll.

Macca has no idea how things work in the real world, how ignorant most investors are, and how badly they need our help.  A one percent annual fee is a BARGAIN  for what I do for my clients, and I’m sure most of you feel the same way.

Dec 11, 2007 8:09 pm

Ironic how things happen.  Today I had a longtime client stop in.  He lost his wife on Nov 17th and at the funeral I told him to come in when he was ready.  Today, he was ready.  He said “I came here for some advice.  I’m not sure what I need to do with what has happened.”  My client’s wife has 2 IRA’s, Life insurance and an annuity.  I called and got all the forms faxed to me, I filled out, we discussed his options, he signed a couple of forms, I had my assistant mail out.  The other 1hr we discussed his wife and his life.  Borker, most people want to have trustworthy, local individuals in which to do business with.  As with anything in life, they want a fair return on investment, which includes what we have to offer, and not just the rate of return on the acct.  Reconsider your thoughts.

Dec 11, 2007 8:44 pm

“BUT, as long as the wrap fees are properly disclosed, I don’t see anything wrong with Min or any other financial advisor using them.”
 
Lad, the problem is that they are never properly disclosed. Keeping in mind that the broker is representing himself as a financial advisor, consider the impact of that 1% (or more) over time on the client’s investments:
 
http://www.retireearlyhomepage.com/advise.html
 
I can promise you that no broker is showing this chart to his clients. The client is losing, literally, well over $200,000 in that wrap…in addition to the fund costs.  
 
THAT is what the client needs to know. 1% seems like nothing until you look at the impact over time. Which is what the client never sees. Shouldn’t a financial advisor be disclosing this impact? It amounts to YEARS of retirement. Dreams delayed or lost.  
 
“If the client is dissatisfied with the advisor’s performance, they can cash out and go somewhere else.”
 
Sadly, the client doesn’t know the performance. He’s told how great he’s doing and never taught how to compare his returns to the appropriate benchmark. The client is manipulated into trusting his financial advisor who is, in reality, a salesman with little or no training. I meet people all the time that think their investments are doing fantastic - until I show the the truth.  
 
“It’s not like they’ve paid high loads that will take years to recover or are locked into annuities that take 10 years to get out of. "
 
Annuities are sold by brokers using wrap accounts. And you should run the numbers to find out if a wrap or load funds will be cheaper. There’s plenty to consider - underlying fund expenses (including turnover) for one. Breakpoints. How long you intend to hold the fund. How much the load is. How much you will be adding.
 
Luckily, I don’t have to worry about any of that. I pay less than 0.2% for my investing costs. No loads, no 12b-1 fees, no wrap fee.
 
“Yes, those who enter into wrap fee agreements are losing 1+% of their assets per year. and need to be very, very careful about selecting an advisor.”
 
They don’t have time to learn or do their own investing. What should they do to select a good advisor?    
 
"  But I think it’s definitely possible that some people would choose to enter into this agreement with full disclosure.”
 
They will never get full disclosure.  
 
"  Not everyone is cut out for managing their own finances, and a wrap account is a far better option than most of what Ameriprise is selling!"
 
Many brokers at Ameriprise use wraps. Many. Possibly a majority.  
 
“As for the amount of the expense, customers of financial advisors should expect to pay for things not directly related to the time the advisor spends managing their portfolio.  For instance, a portion of the time the advisor spends researching the market, keeping up on the latest trends, etc., etc. "
 
Actually, those things hurt investors even more.  
 
" And certainly a portion of the overhead cost – health insurance, computer, office supplies, secretary (if applicable), etc.  With a good advisor, this might be worth it!”
 
Again, how does one find a ‘good’ advisor? What is a ‘good’ advisor? Good by what standard? As it stands now, using a ‘financial advisor’ will get you someone that talks a good game and gets you returns that are way under market returns and way under what we DIY’ers get. Consider:
 
“The study measured the results of literally trillions of dollars of mutual fund purchases and included participation by the best-known and most-trusted names in the industry. It concluded that brokers do not find better-performing funds than individuals, do not allocate assets among different asset classes better than individuals, and do not display fewer biases toward the “hot” stock than individuals.
 
This is true even if you don’t count the fees of the brokers in the performance. In 2002 alone, investors lost about $40 billion to mutual fund sales and management fees.”
 
http://www.fool.com/investing/international/2007/04/17/todays-strong-buys-intern
ational-edition.aspx
 
“In theory, the amount of time an advisor spends managing your money should be correlated to the amount you have in the account.”
 
Why?  
 
“As scarred as I am from my experience with Ameriprise, I don’t think it makes sense to paint all advisors with the same brush.”
 
Sadly, I do. Fee ONLY is a probable exception.
 
“I would caution consumers about the fees that are associated with wrap accounts but wouldn’t recommend against them as a hard and fast rule.”
 
Give them the chart I showed you.  
 
"  I think this industry is full of sleazebags but also probably has some good advisors who can manage their clients’ money more effectively even with a wrap fee. "
 
How do you find them?
 
1. No one can predict the future.
2. Index funds outperform the vast number of actively managed funds.
3. Stay the course.
4. It’s easy to set up a low-cost, diversified portfolio of index funds.
5. Costs matter - a lot.
 
I spend less than 8 hours a year on my portfolio.

Dec 11, 2007 9:51 pm

OK, who do you keep quoting?  I’ve not seen that discussion on this board.  Not to say it didn’t happen in your head, but you can’t really quote yourself and then answer your own question as if you are an expert. 

  You're quoting Buffet from 1999 and relating that to the "average" investor?  Really?    Next, you are correct.  It is easy to set up a low cost, diversified portfolio of index funds.  The question is why isn't everyone doing that?  You just said you only spend 8 hours a year on your portfolio.  My guess is you are probably spending double or triple the amount of time the "average" investor does.   They'll spend more time planning a weeks vacation for 2008 than they will thinking about how to manage their portfolio.    All of your quotes and statistics are probably right.  To a certain extent.  But, they completely leave out emotion.  Numbers are cold, hard facts.  People are flesh and bone, with feelings, likes, dislikes, opinions, and fears.  Those things are the reason people pay us to do what we do for them.  Either they don't want to do it or they don't feel they have the knowledge to do it.    Borker - I would guess you are not alone in thinking that you aren't really necessary in this business.  For some of your prospects you aren't.  Get over that.  There are a ton of people out there who want and need your advice.  Go find them.  Ignore the rest.  Also, when reading those articles about how index funds are great or Vanguard is wonderful, remember who pays for those articles.  Motley Fool doesn't let Vanguard advertise for free, out of the goodness of their hearts. 
Dec 11, 2007 11:18 pm

Space-e-man Spiff, even as an ex-Jones guy, I agree with you…Borker, you need to find your passion again!  Take a vacation, a break, if it doesn’t come back it might be time to look for new opportunities…Spiff, come in to the light (Indy), we want you!

Dec 11, 2007 11:44 pm
Spaceman Spiff:

OK, who do you keep quoting?  I’ve not seen that discussion on this board.  Not to say it didn’t happen in your head, but you can’t really quote yourself and then answer your own question as if you are an expert. 

  I think there's head injury somewhere in his story.
Dec 12, 2007 3:09 am

Apparently the head injury also keeps Willimacca from refuting the studies I posted earlier.  Isn’t it interesting how it just ignores everything that refutes it’s version of the truth?

Dec 12, 2007 4:01 am

Uh… you’re feeding the troll.

Dec 12, 2007 4:59 pm
joedabrkr:

Hey kids…don’t waste your time and energy responding to Macca.  Help Borker out, but ignore the troll.

Macca has no idea how things work in the real world, how ignorant most investors are, and how badly they need our help.  A one percent annual fee is a BARGAIN  for what I do for my clients, and I’m sure most of you feel the same way.

  Here's an interesting case in point: We were referred to a guy who was retiring and had a 401K  rollover. He had a healthy amount of money, but at $650K, not enough to sail off into the sunset.  After looking at all the options we recommended going straight A shares with one fund family, American funds, and hitting the 1/2 mil BP. The guy really liked it, but his wife didn't. She had maybe 2 or 3 grand with some friends invested in stocks through an investment club and thought they should take our recommendations to the club for their opinion. And so they did. Coming as no surprise, the investment club turned two thumbs down to our recommendations as way too expensive, and substituted their own. The prospect followed his wife's wishes and went noload/discount broker implementing the club's reccos.   Turn the calendar forward two years and this guy calls us and says he wants to meet. At the meeting we find that his $650k rollover is now worth just under 500K. He lost over $150k in just under two years. And this in the market before the 2000/2003 meltdown. How could anyone lose money in that market? I was stunned by the careless investments this guy had made following his wife's "EXPERT" investment club friends. We again looked at all the options and again went American Funds, mostly, with the Liberty Acorn Fund(now Columbia) added in. Unbelievably his wife again, at the insistence of the investment club's leader, balked at the cost. With a more than 50% difference from where they were and where they would have been had they followed our original recommendation she was still an immovable rock in the road.       Some people you just can't reach. There are no charts for the damage do-it-yourselfers do to themselves because no one tracks that stat. And there should be a law against investment clubs and other we meaning non professionals from giving advice.   While some may think we are victimizing clients with our fully disclosed fees, the real victims are the do-it-yourselfers. They don't realize they are falling for a bought and paid for marketing campaign that delivers a powerful message that boils all investments down to one common denominator, cost.   Ask the next do-it-yourselfer this question:   Regarding the term no load: Is it   A) an investment term B) a marketing term C) a regulatory term   The answers you'll get will scare you.   Is one percent a year a bargin? For these people and those like them it's the deal of the century!        
Dec 12, 2007 5:42 pm

Hey Macca, I could use a drink and you need to drink the rest of the bottle to kill that bug that crawed up…

Dec 12, 2007 6:42 pm

Bondguy, I sure would like that lady's number, I want to call her up and Say "YOUR A DUMBASS"......

Dec 12, 2007 7:28 pm

I worked at an electronics retailer about  20 years ago, but  I still remember a lady who bought a car stereo from me and told me her husband would install it.  2  hours later she 's back with her dashboard torn apart, wires hanging out and the stereo sitting on the floor.  She asked me how much we would charge to install it and I told her $40. She looks at me and says “$40?!?!!?  Any idiot can install a car stereo”, and storms out the door.

Dec 12, 2007 9:35 pm

That same lady is somewhere today talking to a financial advisor about how much it will cost her to sell her Citigroup stock.  I think I just heard the door hit her in the butt on the way out. 

  I'm always amazed when people balk at paying us to do what we do.  But they don't hesitate to spend an extra 15% on dinner at a restaurant to pay the waitress to bring them food.  Did you ask her what the best thing on the menu is?  Did she do any studies to see if anyone else in the restaurant has gotten food poisoning from what you are about to order?  Did she ask you if  you have any allergies and make recommendations against a menu item that contains what  you are allergic to?  No.  She gave  you a menu.  You ordered something.  She brought it to you.  And for that you'll pay her 15%.  20% if  your soda never runs out.     People are just amazing.   
Dec 12, 2007 9:43 pm

Spiff, if your at Hooters its 30%…

Dec 12, 2007 9:44 pm

I read this from businesswire. This is Harvey Goldstein speaking and here’s what he ahd to say:

Goldstein continues, “You can only manage the future. The more you know about what lies ahead, the more effective you can be. Need cash? How much? When? The most powerful tool in the world,” Goldstein asserts, “is the ability to see and manage the future. The most powerful people in the world are the financial professionals that can literally give their clients a glimpse of their future. But the biggest problem,” Goldstein laments, “is that there simply are not enough people who care to do it.”

 
Dec 12, 2007 11:08 pm
bspears:

Spiff, if your at Hooters its 30%…

  My rule of thumb at Hooters is that tips should be in direct correlation with the size of the same.  
Dec 13, 2007 1:19 am

[quote=Spaceman Spiff] 

I'm always amazed when people balk at paying us to do what we do.  But they don't hesitate to spend an extra 15% on dinner at a restaurant to pay the waitress to bring them food.  Did you ask her what the best thing on the menu is?  Did she do any studies to see if anyone else in the restaurant has gotten food poisoning from what you are about to order?  Did she ask you if  you have any allergies and make recommendations against a menu item that contains what  you are allergic to?  No.  She gave  you a menu.  You ordered something.  She brought it to you.  And for that you'll pay her 15%.  20% if  your soda never runs out.     People are just amazing.    [/quote]

Great analogy Spiff!  Have you ever used it on a client?

I think I'll try.

The reality is that there are some people who are willing to pay for advice and service, and others who are not.  Of the latter group, some are smart enough to do it on their own, but many others are far too ignorant or prideful to realize how badly they need help.  That's my conclusion after 15 years on the front lines.

As far as Macca, he's either a true believer, or a jackass who just likes to argue, or some combination of the two.  He/she is obviously not stupid, but his command of the realities of this business are not as strong as he thinks either.

Regardless, folks, you're not going to change him...and he's not going to change my mind that I provide solid value for my clients.  So we should just ignore his occasional visits.
Dec 13, 2007 4:28 am

This discussion reminds me of the old fashioned “odd lot” theory which, in my opinion, has substantially more pull than the “efficient market” theory.  The way I take a look at overbought sectors is by looking at Fidelity’s inflows, and making sure I’m not owning too much of the “hot” sectors.   Energy, commodities, utilities, alternative energy, currency, and emerging markets make me nervous right now.  Time will tell…

Dec 13, 2007 4:23 pm

That analogy at least gets people thinking.  I’ve taken it a step farther when I’ve had to.  Cosider a 50 year man old who wants to eat out with his wife once a week at a nice restaurant.  A nice dinner on the Hill (the Italian section of STL) can run close to $100 if you have appetizers, drinks, and dessert.  So, that’s $5200 a year.  Figure 30 years of this practice and that’s $156,000 without any inflation or any extra times eating out.  That couple will tip a waitress $31,200 for that food @ 20%.  But they will balk at paying me $5460 to invest that money in American Funds.