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May 2, 2005 8:09 pm

I rest my case.

May 2, 2005 8:27 pm

[quote=anabuhabkuss]

If given the opportunity, I would think twice before underestimating what Block is building on. It's something you're most definitley not going to have access to with any other firm for the meantime.

[/quote]

OK, I'll bite, what are they "building on"? A business model that while not 100% devoid of HNW clients is 99.99999% lacking? Who do you want to do business with? People with sizable assets or people who have their taxes done by H&R? Private CPA firms have the clients you want, not H&R. Want a book full of $2k IRA accounts?<?:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

I would agree that the search for HNW households to the exclusion of all others can be overdone, but just because Walmart isn’t completely lacking for sizable account prospects doesn’t mean it’s a good place to look for them.

The guy's already making, well, slightly less than decent progress at a reputable firm. There's no reason to toss that away for what H&R’s offering.

 

May 3, 2005 1:50 am

I’ll add on to Stan’s post.  H&R’s tax preparation business continues to falter.  Number of returns done is down, although they are getting slighty more per return.  TurboTax represents a huge short and mid-term menace to Block.  A guy can throw it into his cart at Costco for $99 and never set foot in a Block office again.  You mentioned research and heavy lifting.  Do some of that on yourself to see how HRB keeps cranking out a “growth” number that Wall Street eats up.  It is through their sub-prime lending business.  Now, how many sub-prime lending risks do you think make good long-term brokerage clients to build you and your family’s livelihood around?  Like I said, I am short the stock in my own account.  I think the credit risks taken in this historical low interest rate cycle will come back to bite many lenders.  HRB is set up for a big, big “come to Jesus” when they come clean and own up to what they did to keep the growth engine running.

May 3, 2005 2:58 pm

Umm, the Express IRA program isn't even part of the brokerage side.  You don't have to take on 2k IRAs. 

Sooth, we all know you've shorted the stock. Congratulations.  UBS recently initiated a buy.  I assume they've done some research, right?  We'll see how you're short does.

May 3, 2005 4:49 pm

[quote=stanwbrown][quote=anabuhabkuss]

If given the opportunity, I would think twice before underestimating what Block is building on. It's something you're most definitley not going to have access to with any other firm for the meantime.

[/quote]

OK, I'll bite, what are they "building on"? A business model that while not 100% devoid of HNW clients is 99.99999% lacking? Who do you want to do business with? People with sizable assets or people who have their taxes done by H&R? Private CPA firms have the clients you want, not H&R. Want a book full of $2k IRA accounts?<?:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

I would agree that the search for HNW households to the exclusion of all others can be overdone, but just because Walmart isn’t completely lacking for sizable account prospects doesn’t mean it’s a good place to look for them.

The guy's already making, well, slightly less than decent progress at a reputable firm. There's no reason to toss that away for what H&R’s offering.

[/quote]

What clients would I want? Both! there's money to made either way and there's no way that diversifying my clientele reach is going to end up hurting me or anyone else. I find it ironic that some of us pitch diversifying client's portfolio's when we ourselves end up chasing doctors along with every other FA in town (granted I just exagerated a bit right there). 

May 3, 2005 4:56 pm

[quote=Soothsayer]I'll add on to Stan's post.  H&R's tax preparation business continues to falter.  Number of returns done is down, although they are getting slighty more per return.  TurboTax represents a huge short and mid-term menace to Block.  A guy can throw it into his cart at Costco for $99 and never set foot in a Block office again.  You mentioned research and heavy lifting.  Do some of that on yourself to see how HRB keeps cranking out a "growth" number that Wall Street eats up.  It is through their sub-prime lending business.  Now, how many sub-prime lending risks do you think make good long-term brokerage clients to build you and your family's livelihood around?  Like I said, I am short the stock in my own account.  I think the credit risks taken in this historical low interest rate cycle will come back to bite many lenders.  HRB is set up for a big, big "come to Jesus" when they come clean and own up to what they did to keep the growth engine running.[/quote]

They hedge and then they securitize. What's the big deal?

Look, you guys are so worried that a company comes up to you with a lot of money on the table and think there's a catch to it. You guys are looking into this way too much.

I read an article about Block on Rep magazine (the article is here somewhere on the april issue) and according to them, HRBFA has 1000 advisors. That looks like they have plenty of money to throw around to me. You got to spend it to make it right? How are they offering so much money? Simple, a friend informs me HRBFA has no training platform. Two years ago if you had a license HRBFA would take you off the street and give you a job. Not so anymore. They're targeting producers between 200-400k. That is the number they've calculated where they can hand out that kind of money for that level of production. Call it supply and demand if you will. It';s not rocket science. Two to three eyars from now once they've brought enough people abord, they might not be as flexible with their deals. I'm sure they'd tell you that to you face.

Speaking of face, if that was ever a worry from you, why didn' you ever ask "Why are you offering me so much money?". I'd love to see what they'd say or how they'd react. I know how I would.

"What, you're offering me money!? You con artists!!!!!"

May 3, 2005 6:16 pm

[quote=anabuhabkuss][quote=stanwbrown][quote=anabuhabkuss]

If given the opportunity, I would think twice before underestimating what Block is building on. It's something you're most definitley not going to have access to with any other firm for the meantime.

[/quote]

OK, I'll bite, what are they "building on"? A business model that while not 100% devoid of HNW clients is 99.99999% lacking? Who do you want to do business with? People with sizable assets or people who have their taxes done by H&R? Private CPA firms have the clients you want, not H&R. Want a book full of $2k IRA accounts?<?:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

I would agree that the search for HNW households to the exclusion of all others can be overdone, but just because Walmart isn’t completely lacking for sizable account prospects doesn’t mean it’s a good place to look for them.

The guy's already making, well, slightly less than decent progress at a reputable firm. There's no reason to toss that away for what H&R’s offering.

[/quote]

What clients would I want? Both! there's money to made either way and there's no way that diversifying my clientele reach is going to end up hurting me or anyone else. I find it ironic that some of us pitch diversifying client's portfolio's when we ourselves end up chasing doctors along with every other FA in town (granted I just exagerated a bit right there). 

[/quote]

I don't see any value in "diversifying" my book with small accounts. They're not money makers, they get under foot, they take as much time to handle as a larger more profitiable account and I see no way they'll get te ongoing service they deserve.

There are only so many hours in a day. I can spent it working a book with a massive number of households with small accounts or vastly fewer households with larger accounts. I know which route gets better results.

The same applies to prospecting. Every 15 minutes I spend talking to the guy opening a $2k IRA is 15 minutes I can't spend talking to someone with real assets.

May 4, 2005 12:47 am

"UBS recently intiated a buy.  I assume they've done some research, right?"

Yes, and how many firms on the street had sell ratings on WorldCom?  Enron?  Too extreme for you?  How about the meltdown known as Fannie Mae?  More recently, Harley Davidson?  Typical Wall Street groupthink.  Yeah, those CFAs and analysts are all wizards.  I shorted 3 of the above 4.  I'm confident that I'll be right again.  Then, you'll know why I have clients.

May 4, 2005 1:51 am

Sears tried mixing stores, real estate, and investments…anyone remember what happened?  Can you name the failed entities?

May 5, 2005 12:01 am

Give this up. Serious money will never end up at H&R Block. Are you kidding?

May 5, 2005 4:42 pm

Completely off subject but computer software is NOT a major problem for
a company like H&R Block.  Reality is in numbers and over the
past 5 years the percentage of tax returns handled by tax professionals
has risen to 58%.  That’s basically an 8% point rise in the past 5
years.  Computer software during that time has grown from about 8
to 20%.  What has happened is that people writing out their
returns with a pencil has plummeted.



A projection I saw said that tax pro’s are expected to continue their
growth to about 60-65% of all returns and should keep their total in
that area.  Computer software is expected to rise to 30-35% over
the next 10 years.



The problem with H&R Block is that they are getting hit with
competition from other chains like Liberty and Jackson,Hewitt.  5
years ago they only competed with CPAs and Enrolled Agents and that
just isn’t the case anymore.  New IRS regulation (just being
talked about at the moment) that all tax preparers must have a license
could have a serious implication on a firm like H&R Block in
finding a large enough pool of preparers without paying significantly
more money.

May 7, 2005 2:23 am

[quote=anabuhabkuss]

They hedge and then they securitize. What's the big deal?

Look, you guys are so worried that a company comes up to you with a lot of money on the table and think there's a catch to it. You guys are looking into this way too much.

I read an article about Block on Rep magazine (the article is here somewhere on the april issue) and according to them, HRBFA has 1000 advisors. That looks like they have plenty of money to throw around to me. You got to spend it to make it right? How are they offering so much money? Simple, a friend informs me HRBFA has no training platform. Two years ago if you had a license HRBFA would take you off the street and give you a job. Not so anymore. They're targeting producers between 200-400k. That is the number they've calculated where they can hand out that kind of money for that level of production. Call it supply and demand if you will. It';s not rocket science. Two to three eyars from now once they've brought enough people abord, they might not be as flexible with their deals. I'm sure they'd tell you that to you face.

Speaking of face, if that was ever a worry from you, why didn' you ever ask "Why are you offering me so much money?". I'd love to see what they'd say or how they'd react. I know how I would.

"What, you're offering me money!? You con artists!!!!!"

[/quote]

The big deal is that is HRB confessed today that full year guidance would come in on the low end.  I guess it's really not all that simple.  Time to find out what happens when you come out of a "good credit cycle" fueled by all-time low interest rates and a sea of liquidity.  Oh yeah, and their brokerage business continues to lose money as well.  But, I'm sure UBS has done their research.  I'll maintain my short position for clients and my own account, Thank You Very Much!

May 7, 2005 2:50 am

I know a fellow who manages a couple of Jackson-Hewitt "stores".  (His word, not mine.)  These guys are getting series 6 licensed.  So they're going to start doing $4K IRAs for their tax clients.  Groovy.  HRB and Jackson-Hewitt can fight over that business from now 'til the cows come home as far as I'm concerned.

High end CPAs and Accountants know what all high end professionals know...namely, that there's plenty of business for all high end specialists with high end clients who appreciate and are willing to pay for high end solutions to high end problems.

A decent living can be made, to be sure, from an hundred $200 commissions a month, but for me, that's too much of pain.  So let the short form filers fight it out.

May 20, 2005 5:00 am

Rambo,

Read all the negative stuff about HRB and felt compelled to respond.

I had book and experience at AGE almost exactly like yours, with an equally high 70% in AGE fee based program.  I got HRB offer very similiar to yours and accepted.

First - potential referral source.  I was successful cold calling but no longer wish to do that.  In my area in last 4 months,  referrals from tax preparers have overwhelmed the brokers.  While most are too small to care about, a number of 7 figure accounts are coming in. 

2.  Money.  AGE puts 3-400 people thru their training program a year and their brokers numbers are down 1k since i started 3-5 years ago.  $75k per trainee and still losing brokers.  HRB gives it to the survivors of 3-5 yrs experience doing 200-400k.  You tell me which company is spending money wisely.   HRB is net adding brokers.

3. Fee based program is better for clients at HRB.  AGE put limits in last year for under and over trading.  While they are certainly workable, it required monthly monitoring of accounts to avoid going into the penalty box.  And if you did, your payout gets cut to 20% and your clients gets hit with $50 surcharges per trade.  AT HRB it is far more flexible and for a broker like me who does a fair amount of stocks, I can feel better about putting stops on positions and not feel like my client and me may get thrown in the penalty box for trying to reduce our risk.

4.  AGE was awesome and totally recommend it for newbies.  But cold calling continues to get more difficult and time consuming so aligning with a referral source of tax pro's who enjoy the confidence of their clients seemed like a good marketing addition for my business.  There are a ton of middle class people who have 300-600k of savings who need help.  How do you reach them?

5.  I've also found the HRB management team far more focused on growth and creating serious but friendly sales goals and programs and frankly I don't mind the competition.  AGE did not have that drive for growth.

6.  And lastly,  nearly all my clients are coming with me with only a few exceptions.  I'm up and running at twice the salary. 

We'll see where it shakes out in 5 years but I'm putting my 401k money in HRB stock. I hope it goes lower. 

PS And I almost forget.  CLient statements at HRB have great graphical performace charting for all clients.  AGE like alot of broker firms have terrible statements that failed to tell the client how they were doing. (Why is that?) It required me to keep track of initial investments and remind the client of our perfomrance.

Jun 9, 2005 9:44 pm

[quote=Soothsayer]

"UBS recently intiated a buy.  I assume they've done some research, right?"

Yes, and how many firms on the street had sell ratings on WorldCom?  Enron?  Too extreme for you?  How about the meltdown known as Fannie Mae?  More recently, Harley Davidson?  Typical Wall Street groupthink.  Yeah, those CFAs and analysts are all wizards.  I shorted 3 of the above 4.  I'm confident that I'll be right again.  Then, you'll know why I have clients.

[/quote]

I hope it doesn't hurt to be wrong. HRBFA stock went up 5 points today.

Jun 9, 2005 11:11 pm



Apr 24, 2006 4:01 am

[quote=Soothsayer]That is the career equivalent of going from driving a 2005 Mercedes C-Class to an '84 Yugo.  Hope that answers your question.  BTW, I shorted HRB in my own account today.  I'm totally serious.  That company is in big time trouble.[/quote]

Time to check the record.......

Apr 24, 2006 4:04 am

[quote=Soothsayer]I'll add on to Stan's post.  H&R's tax preparation business continues to falter.  Number of returns done is down, although they are getting slighty more per return.  TurboTax represents a huge short and mid-term menace to Block.  A guy can throw it into his cart at Costco for $99 and never set foot in a Block office again.  You mentioned research and heavy lifting.  Do some of that on yourself to see how HRB keeps cranking out a "growth" number that Wall Street eats up.  It is through their sub-prime lending business.  Now, how many sub-prime lending risks do you think make good long-term brokerage clients to build you and your family's livelihood around?  Like I said, I am short the stock in my own account.  I think the credit risks taken in this historical low interest rate cycle will come back to bite many lenders.  HRB is set up for a big, big "come to Jesus" when they come clean and own up to what they did to keep the growth engine running.[/quote]

And the price today is...........

Apr 24, 2006 4:07 am

[quote=da public]

Umm, the Express IRA program isn't even part of the brokerage side. 

[/quote]

Isn't this the fine program that they're now being sued over?

Apr 24, 2006 4:09 am

[quote=anabuhabkuss]

They hedge and then they securitize. What's the big deal?

[/quote]

I guess there's a little more to it than that......